Paper describes a new analytic method for identifying scenarios that may help resolve the challenges of finding the the best means to choose three or four scenarios to summarize what is often a very wide range of uncertainties and how best to include probabilistic information with such scenarios.

Author names: 
Groves, David G.
Lempert, Robert J.

Groves, D. G., & Lempert, R. J. (2007). A new analytic method for finding policy-relevant scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 17(1), 73-85.

Geographical area: 
Policy areas considered: 
Climate risks considered: 
Decision-Support Tools: