This paper presents an assessment framework that allows the identification of adaptation strategies that are robust (i.e. insensitive) to climate change uncertainties.
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resultsThe report reviews methods and tools available in the literature on the assessment of climate change uncertainties and reviews existing frameworks for decision making under uncertainty for adaptation to climate change in the Netherlands.
Paper describes a new analytic method for identifying scenarios that may help resolve the challenges of finding the the best means to choose three or four scenarios to summarize what is often a very wide range of uncertainties and how best to include probabilistic information with such scenarios.
This dissertation has two main objectives. The first is to motivate the need for new quantitative scenario-based planning and decision making methods for California water resource management. The second is to demonstrate the benefits of such methods for water resource planning, and in particular in California water resources planning.
Article provides a summary of the CPRA Planning Tool, a computer-based decision support tool, that supported the development of the Louisiana Master Plan through CPRA and community-based deliberations.
Report describes RAND's contributions to the Colorado River Basin Water Supply and Demand Study with a focus on the methodological underpinnings to provide a more useful resource for other planners wishing to replicate or expand on the methodologies used.
Document describes the analysis developed for the fourth workshop which was developed to help water managers, technical staff, elected officials, and other planners from the IEUA region consider the significance of potential climate change relative to other key planning uncertainties and evaluate options for reducing their vulnerability to supply shortfalls under a wide range of plausible futur
Sumary of workshops Inland Empire Utilities Agency documenting methods and observations to preserve an archive of the workshop process.
Paper proposes a method for decisionmaking under deep uncertainty called Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, which is a combination of Adaptive Policymaking and Adaptation Pathways.
Paper calls for the development of innovative adaptation strategies able to cope with the uncertainty on future climates, and for more involvement of climate information end-users.
Paper uses RDM (Robust Decision Making) methods to help water agencies in the western United States develop robust, adaptive strategies that could successfully accommodate the uncertain effects of climate change and other water management conditions.
Study demonstrates how robust decision making can help Ho Chi Minh City develop integrated flood risk management strategies in the face of deep uncertainty.
Paper applies robust anticipated adaptation strategies that aim at reducing vulnerability in the largest possible range of climate changes to dam dimensioning in the water management sector
Report presents a framework for appraising different adaptation actions, focusing specifically on the appraisal of flood risk management initiatives.
Analytical annex for the The National Adaptation Programme. Contains the current evidence base for adaptation decision-making and presents the analysis that informs the National Adaptation Programme’s approach to adaptation to climate change.
Compares two different approaches to climate risk assessment in adaptation planning and describes a framework for robust adaptation decision-making that departs from traditional‘predict and provide’ methods.
Paper summarizes the additional uncertainty that is created by climate change, and reviews the tools that are available to project climate change (including downscaling techniques) and to assess and quantify the corresponding uncertainty.
Report draws on lessons learned during TE2100 to demonstrate how such large-scale decisions can be made robust in the face of deep uncertainty over future climate using a route-map approach.
The overall objective of this scoping study is to gather evidence of existing cooperation amongst the suppliers and users of climate risk information in South Asia, and to identify opportunities for strengthening future data demand and coordination for climate change adaptation and development planning.
The primary objective of this study has been to develop a comprehensive, participatory, and indigenously oriented climate change review study in Zanzibar, in order to address the required implementation formula in climate change adaptation and mitigation.
The purpose of this policy brief is to contribute to the National Adaptation Programme that is currently under preparation by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. The Climate Change Act (Her Majesty’s Government, 2008) requires the Government to put in place, and update every five years, a National Adaptation Programme (NAP), which addresses climate change risks.
The MEDIATION project guides researchers, policy advisors and experts to suitable climate change adaptation methods and tools for a wide range of questions and from various disciplines and perspectives. The project involves 11 partners and 11 case studies. Summaries of five of these case studies can be found in the present publication.
Investment decision making is already difficult for any diverse group of actors with different priorities and views. But the presence of deep uncertainties linked to climate change and other future conditions further challenges decision making by questioning the robustness of all purportedly optimal solutions.